RECORDER REPORT
KARACHI: The Met Office has forecast ‘the driest’ spell for Nov, suggesting low rains for Rabbi crops.
In its weather outlook for Nov, the forecaster said the current month would be ‘the driest’ of the entire year.
“Daily area average rainfall is about 0.6mm/day,” it said “while climatology of maximum daily rainfall is around 1mm/day and 10 mm/month respectively.”
In November, it said the country’s upper parts have received good rains; however the central and lower areas have seen a very few spells.
On the basis of these prevailing global climate conditions and opinion from climate experts the consensus outlook for the Nov, suggests a whole near normal to slightly below normal precipitation is expected over whole country. The upper region of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Punjab may receive a below normal precipitation. In addition, up to two spells of light rainfall are expected during the last 10 days of this month.
Westerly wind system will approach northern parts and may cause snowfall over mountains. For Gilgit-Baltistan, Sindh, Balochistan and lower parts of Punjab, a normal rainfall is predicted. Smog intensity will increase gradually in central Punjab and may continue for the whole month. The dry weather and dense smog will persist to cause hazardous conditions for health and travelling.
Shallow to dense fog is expected over plain areas of Punjab, Sindh and Peshawar region of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
Normal rainfall may not be harmful for maturity stages of Basmati rice crop.
While the soil dampness may be less to cause a delay to the sowing of wheat crop especially in the rain-fed areas. Snowfall over glaciated regions will enhance snow accumulation over elevated mountains. Normal to slightly below normal temperature is expected in Sindh, Balochistan and upper parts of the country.
Normal temperature is predicted for the astern parts of the country. “The large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns like El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are approaching towards negative phase and have no significant influence over precipitation of the region. But the temperature may decrease due to these negative phases of climate indicators,” the Met said.
